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Iron Ore Gold Are Keeping Australia apos;s Luck From Running Out: Russell

2020-07-21T00:42:04Z

GildaCrick2000:

By Clyde Russell LAUNCESTON, Australia, June 29 (Reuters) - Iron ore and gold may seem unlikely bed fellows, but in the current coronavirus pandemic they are combining to try and hold up Australia's reputation as the "lucky country". While the country's unbroken 29-year stretch of economic growth will be ended by the pandemic, the resource sector is proving to be key in cushioning the blow and likely ensuring Australia outperforms other developed economies. The Australian government's flagship resources report forecast that earnings from exports of resources and energy will reach a record A$293 billion ($201 billion) in the current fiscal year that ends on June 30. This will drop to A$263 billion in the 2020-21 fiscal year, the according to the report released on Monday by the chief economist at the Department of Industry, Science, [https://www.kynghidongduong.vn/tours/tour-du-lich-ha-noi-bac-kan-ho-ba-be-cao-bang-hang-pac-bo-thac-ban-gioc.html kynghidongduong.vn] Energy and Resources. A 10% decline in export earnings from minerals and energy may seem like quite a blow, but the report notes that earnings from exports will be 50% higher in real terms than during the 2008 global financial crisis. The coronavirus pandemic has hit most commodities, with the exception of the traditionally contrarian gold, but the declines haven't been evenly spread, with energy such as crude oil, coal and liquefied natural gas (LNG) tending to fare worse than metals. While Australia is the world's largest exporter of LNG and coking coal, [https://www.kynghidongduong.vn/tours/tour-du-lich-ha-noi-bac-kan-ho-ba-be-cao-bang-hang-pac-bo-thac-ban-gioc.html tour thác bản giốc] and ranks second in thermal coal, it is also the biggest shipper of iron ore, and the world's second-largest gold producer. It is iron ore that is doing the bulk of the heavy lifting in keeping Australia's resource exports buoyant, with the report forecasting export volumes of 852 million tonnes in 2019-20, rising to 893 million in 2020-21 and 912 million the following year. A slight drop in the forecast price from $78 a tonne in 2019-20 to $77 in the following fiscal year means the export value drops slightly from A$103 billion this fiscal year to A$97 billion in 2020-21. It's worth noting that the government is being cautious in its price forecasts, with its expected iron ore price well below the current spot price <MT-IO-QIN62=ARG> of $103.50 a tonne, as assessed by commodity price reporting agency Argus. This is a reflection of some of the risks around how the global, and Chinese, economies will recover from the public health lockdowns that have crushed growth. There are also the risks of renewed trade tensions between the United States and China, especially as the political temperature is likely to rise ahead of President Donald Trump's attempt to win a second term in the November election. But what the government forecast also shows is the advantage of being the world's largest exporter of a commodity sought after by China, which buys about two-thirds of global seaborne iron ore. While tensions have risen between Australia and China in recent months over Canberra's support for an international probe of the origins of the novel coronavirus and Beijing's early response, [https://www.kynghidongduong.vn/tours/tour-du-lich-ha-noi-bac-kan-ho-ba-be-cao-bang-hang-pac-bo-thac-ban-gioc.html tour thác bản giốc] it's likely that the iron ore trade would be the last [http://search.usa.gov/search?affiliate=usagov&query=impacted impacted] by any ill will. It's the prevailing view that Australia is overly exposed to China for its exports, but it's less common to take the view that China's economy is heavily dependant on steel, and its steel industry is largely beholden to Australia's iron ore miners. GOLDEN HUE The other stand out commodity for Australia is gold, with the government forecasting exports will rise to 418 tonnes in 2020-21 from 362 tonnes in 2019-20, with revenue jumping to A$32 billion from A$27 billion. Again, the gold price forecast is cautious at $1,587 an ounce for 2020-21, well below the $1,770.95 an ounce in early Asian trade on Monday. Many gold analysts expect the precious metal to continue to rally over the medium term given the massive amounts of fiscal stimulus around the world and the low interest rates, with some countries having negative real interest rates. While gold and iron ore look constructive for Australia, both grades of coal are likely to struggle, even though export volumes are expected to remain steady. Export revenue from coking coal is forecast to drop to A$25 billion in 2020-21 from A$35, while thermal coal declines to A$16 billion from A$20 billion. LNG volumes are also expected to be constant around 80 million tonnes per annum, but revenue for 2020-21 is seen slipping to A$35 billion from A$47 billion, given weakness in the oversupplied spot market, as well as softness in crude oil-linked longer-term contracts. Overall, what the government's latest quarterly resource and energy report shows is the advantage of having a diverse portfolio of commodity exports. While iron ore and gold are holding up Australia for now, it's quite possible that LNG, coking coal or alumina may be the big movers in the next upswing. (Editing by Christian Schmollinger)

Daily Glass Of Wine Or Pint Of Beer May Help Stave Off Dementia

2020-07-20T14:31:16Z

GildaCrick2000:

A daily glass of wine or pint of beer could help middle-aged and elderly people stave off dementia and [https://www.kynghidongduong.vn/tours/tour-du-lich-ha-noi-bac-kan-ho-ba-be-cao-bang-hang-pac-bo-thac-ban-gioc.html tour hồ ba bể] maintain brain power, a study has claimed. Scientists said that eight alcoholic drinks a week for women and 15 for men can reduce the rate of cognitive decline, leading to better overall mental health, word recall and vocabulary. And even those who drink a smaller amount of [/news/alcohol/index.html alcohol] each week could benefit, their results suggested. The study showed that drinking once a day could help stave off the effects of dementia. It was based on results gathered from a survey in the US (stock) In the study, scientists analysed data from 19,887 people on their health and economic status from the US Health and Retirement Study. Each underwent tests every two years between 1997 and 2008 to show changes to their health by measuring four factors: Total cognition, mental status, word recall and vocabulary. When the scores of the 6,010 low-to-moderate drinkers were [http://www.search.com/search?q=compared compared] to those of never-drinkers, scientists found the former was 'significantly less likely' to be suffering from declines in the four factors than the latter. RELATED ARTICLES [# Previous] [# 1] [# Next] [/news/article-8380895/Guernsey-place-British-Isles-reopen-pubs.html Drinkers celebrate in Guernsey as it becomes the first place...] [/news/article-8464231/Police-fined-18-000-people-breaching-lockdown-rules-March.html Police have fined more than 18,000 people for breaching...] Share this article Share Based on their results, they suggested drinking 12 alcoholic drinks a week to slow the reduction in cognitive function, 13 for mental status, ten for word recall and 14 for vocabulary. The results also formed a U-shaped graph, suggesting those who drink significantly more or less are unlikely to reap the alleged benefits of alcohol. The study, which included 16,950 white participants, also suggested that alcohol's protective capacity differed depending on ancestry. This graph shows the association in decline of scores and alcohol consumption. The error bars indicate 95 per cent confidence limits The magnitude of associations between the four factors was stronger among white participants than black, the scientists said. The study also included 11,943 women, about 60 per cent of the total sample, although there were no clear differences identified between the genders. Participants had a mean age of 61 years. 'The mechanisms underlying the beneficial association of low to moderate alcohol consumption with cognitive function are unclear,' said lead author Dr Li Changwei, [https://www.kynghidongduong.vn/tours/tour-du-lich-ha-noi-bac-kan-ho-ba-be-cao-bang-hang-pac-bo-thac-ban-gioc.html kynghidongduong.vn] from the University of Georgia, US. 'Several studies have found that low to moderate alcohol consumption is associated with better cardiovascular functions, fewer cardiac events, and longer survival compared with abstainers and heavy drinkers. 'However, a recent study found that alcohol consumption increases the risk of hypertension and stroke regardless of dose, which decreases the likelihood of this potential mechanism. 'The role of alcohol drinking in cognitive function may be a balance of its beneficial and harmful effects on the cardiovascular system.' The sample was 60 per cent women, with 11,943. However, no clear differences were identified between the two sexes Further studies have suggested alcohol consumption can fuel the expression of proteins that protect and boost brain development. Published last year in The Lancet, a study on 500,000 people in China found alcohol consumption 'uniformly increases' blood pressure and stroke risk, and has little net effect on the risk of heart attack. The study was published in [ ]. data-track-module="am-external-links^external-links"> Read more: [ Association of Low to Moderate Alcohol Drinking With Cognitive Functions From Middle to Older Age Among US Adults | Dementia and Cognitive Impairment | JAMA Network Open | JAMA Network] DM.later('bundle', function() DM.has('external-source-links', 'externalLinkTracker'); );

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2020-07-20T14:31:10Z

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